GM futures conviction theory. A research framework. Not a trade. The live book stays on COMPUTER.
What is GM futures conviction theory?
Classical portfolio theory uses two numbers — mean and variance — and leaves time out. This theory reads the whole return distribution against a hurdle, and keeps the order of change. Omega is that ranking: gains that clear the line, over losses that miss it. Future conviction is the same reading aimed at a horizon. A research framework. Not an index, not a strategy, not advice.